Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 165.253230 192.386984 224.119716 264.367098 314.623787 376.079904 4.581329e+02
2025-06-01 127.384662 160.201162 202.834465 263.712461 350.899561 475.439759 6.751635e+02
2025-06-08 105.580616 139.404634 186.430808 259.178588 374.031486 558.512403 9.019642e+02
2025-06-15 94.951491 130.566024 183.014106 270.056012 420.280204 690.366691 1.276523e+03
2025-06-22 81.608204 115.233264 166.672994 256.216816 420.733898 741.968070 1.527439e+03
2025-06-29 73.639126 106.636072 158.995879 254.515454 441.437750 839.318878 1.949224e+03
2025-07-06 67.391692 99.778543 152.868213 253.922988 463.628909 948.759132 2.497213e+03
2025-07-13 64.940015 98.633918 155.992178 270.815926 526.773669 1184.916003 3.708110e+03
2025-07-20 63.284725 98.532087 160.802026 291.929964 606.725436 1514.558331 5.838069e+03
2025-07-27 59.480900 94.233272 157.261638 294.923248 644.082632 1744.565275 8.038641e+03
2025-08-03 56.694452 91.406332 156.062898 302.708971 696.932677 2067.069767 1.182838e+04
2025-08-10 53.308796 87.126134 151.445373 301.764527 725.419447 2324.522880 1.627977e+04
2025-08-17 50.364335 83.698643 148.753631 306.607073 779.269413 2771.072238 2.625950e+04
2025-08-24 47.124315 79.433870 143.896703 305.507765 816.274081 3201.535526 4.192457e+04
2025-08-31 43.911636 74.887326 137.827924 300.002800 836.803656 3584.207213 6.534711e+04
2025-09-07 42.457480 73.634809 138.685651 313.191624 932.534453 4598.123895 1.582944e+05
2025-09-14 39.051059 68.147203 129.453711 296.416867 905.002561 4721.948210 2.204518e+05
2025-09-21 36.968149 65.177501 125.593632 294.358343 938.135409 5410.633293 4.785975e+05
2025-09-28 35.166689 62.628939 122.399985 293.641696 977.802139 6276.933421 1.354991e+06
2025-10-05 34.740156 62.905523 125.868500 314.114256 1128.919965 8843.178114 4.315814e+07
2025-10-12 34.532604 63.621341 130.502467 339.812453 1330.056008 13302.384465 NaN
2025-10-19 33.226836 61.824996 128.652234 343.465224 1415.773232 16636.636549 NaN
2025-10-26 32.276318 60.731993 128.461225 352.977235 1546.907987 22323.748940 NaN